Tuesday, November 8, 2016

#OverAgain: 8 signs we’re ready for 2nd martial law

Martial law will be forever etched in the consciousness of the Filipinos, but not its meaning. It used to be the darkest period of our history as a nation; now, to others, it is the glorious days of peace and order.

With the new administration, talks of declaring martial law have been circulating again. While there is a debate of whether it will be implemented or not in this administration, let’s look at the political environment and see if the country is ripe to be put under martial law again.

8. Terror attacks
The recent bombing in Davao was no joke. Yes, there had been so many terrorist attacks that have happened in the recent years. But to target and successfully strike what is perceived to be the safest city in the country – the very foundation of why our current president was elected – means much more than just to raise terror.
While disowning the blast and pointing fingers to other allies, Abu Sayyaf Group (ASG) says this is “sending a message to President Rodrigo Duterte that all the Daulat Ul Islamiya (the group behind the blast according to ASG) throughout the country is not afraid of him.”
Demanding to be recognized as a caliphate, ASG made threats before the blast. "They gave us the warning. Not only in Jolo, but in other places. We were forewarned, we were ready," Duterte said. "Unfortunately, we cannot frisk or order people to stop and search because that could be fascistic. Then that is not a democracy anymore. That is the price of being a democratic state."
As more bombings are expected by the government, Duterte promised that there would be a “day of reckoning.” In what form it will be, we’ll just have to find out.

7. Killings and arrests
Let’s face it: the number of extrajudicial killings is alarmingly high for a country where even judicial killings are not allowed. More than 3,000 people had been in killed in this war on drugs in just less than 3 months, highest since martial law era. It may have been to eliminate the excruciating drug problem in the country but when innocent lives become unintentional collateral damage, then public safety becomes a catch-22 situation. Especially since there are reported police casualties, as well. It could be all going well until it hits our home.
And in most cases, PNP’s Operation Tokhang saw that through. The national police has been knocking on houses of known drug personalities and persuading them to surrender sans warrants. It has mostly been effective since many on the drug list have surrendered or been arrested. However, Commission on Human Rights, the very office that was established after Marcos regime, said it has been receiving reports from “people who are not involved in drugs, being included into this lists and thereby creating a scenario of possible abuse.” There are also reports that while criminals are being killed, NGO leaders or community leaders are also being killed.
Malacañang says the president is against extrajudicial killings and even decries UN’s attribution of the murders to the government. This adds to the confusion of who’s killing who. Are these killings result of police operations or murders of other illegal drug personalities? Was it legal? Was there a due process? Saying one need not to worry if he/she hasn’t done anything illegal is now not enough to calm you in the midst of the rising death toll.

6. Impending political crisis
The recent circus in the senate did not help. The senate committee on justice and human rights chairman Sen. Leila De Lima introduced a witness on the hearing regarding the supposedly extrajudicial killings committed by Duterte administration. Should the committee succeed in producing probable cause for these allegations, the next logical step would be an impeachment case filed against the president.
On the other hand, Duterte’s fierce ally and running mate last national elections, Sen. Alan Peter Cayetano, has been fighting tooth and nail on validating the credibility of the witness. He then went on to theorize that this entire investigation is the opposing party’s (Liberal, which De Lima is a member) political move to remove the president in office and place Vice President Leni Robredo so that Liberal Party would take charge of the Malacañang again.
Beyond the speculations and grandstanding, if the president, enjoying more than 90% approval rating, would be removed from office by any means, a massive revolt is not far from happening. The government would be left in limbo as passionate supporters of both camps would definitely clash, and thus, a political crisis may open up possibilities, like in Thailand.
On his relentless war on drugs, even the president acknowledges the death  threats he’s been receiving. When he released his narcolist, Duterte implored the AFP to take up the fight against drugs, in case of unforeseeable fruition of these threats. “Prepare for that eventuality, prepare for war; the reason I want you to be equipped with advanced weaponry. I do not know if I would still be alive during the course of my six years term.”

5. Critical Press
On the day martial law was imposed in 1972, media establishments were the first ones to be shut down and the journalists critical of Marcos administration were arrested. Then, only publishing and broadcasting companies, as well as state-controlled ones, that would print materials suitable and passable to government’s taste would be allowed to operate. A very critical press is seen as subversive and therefore, anti-government.
Duterte welcomes criticism from the press: “Do not hesitate to attack me, criticize me, if I do wrong in my job,” he said. Media world has been topsy-turvy ever since he assumed office. Speaking as a representative of the office of the highest position in the land, many of his speeches have been colorful and downright blunt, making him an everyday headline. And with this fresh tough-talking president, sometimes the press can’t help but be critical, even be criticized themselves for so-called ‘clickbait headlines’. The government, on the other hand, has been defending his speeches being taken out of context, like the expletives at the Pope, the rape joke, or the expletives blurted while being asked about US President Barack Obama. It even stressed that the media should be more professional and responsible not to try changing the context of what was said.
So to avoid these mistakes, Duterte once boycotted the press and endorsed state-controlled media to be people’s source of news from Malacañang. Now, if this word war escalated, who knows what can happen.

4. Government Composition
The success of martial law lies heavily on the president’s command of the armed forces and military force. For one, when Fidel Ramos, former chief of Philippine Constabulary, broke off from Marcos administration, the regime took a great blow in controlling the people power revolution of 1986. And the success of continuing the martial law lies on Congress and its majority according to 1987 constitution as it has the sole power to extend the declaration or vest emergency powers to the president.
The appointment of Lt. Gen. Ricardo Visaya as the first Armed Forces of the Philippines chief-of-staff of the new administration met criticisms from human rights group Karapatan, citing his link to the controversial Gen. Jovito Palparan and his involvement as a ground commander during the Hacienda Luisita massacre. There were no cases filed yet and Duterte, while discussing his appointment of Visaya, defended that it is not fair to take his friendship with Palparan against him. Of course, we also have the very visible Philippine National Police Chief Ronald Dela Rosa – arguably crafted from the same branch of tree as the president.
The current senate president elected by majority of the senators is Sen. Aquilino Pimentel III, also the president of the political party PDP-LABAN in which Duterte is the national chairman. The current speaker of the house elected by majority of the representatives is Davao del Norte Rep. Pantaleon Alvarez, secretary-general of the same party. Even Pampanga Rep. Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo, who as former president declared martial law in Maguindanao herself, is one of the deputy speakers. Liberal Party also enjoyed this setup for the last three years of previous administration. But with the current political environment where anything can happen with a very robust presidency, it is safe to say that Duterte has the support of the congress and armed forces in his decisions for the country, for now.

3. State of National Emergency
The constitution is quite unclear on declaring a state of emergency. It gives, however, the president the power to call all armed forces to suppress lawless violence in a part or of the whole country. This specific provision is cited by Malacañang when it declared a state of national emergency on account of lawless violence through Proclamation 55 days after the bombing incident in Davao.
The government has repeatedly appeased the public that this is not  martial law nor a prelude to one, as some critics would infer. There are no curfews and no suspension of the writ of habeas corpus, as that would only be applicable in an invasion or rebellion that endangers public safety. With this declaration though, he may “invite uniformed personnel to run the country according to his specifications." Even though this was pertaining to the Davao blast, it’s indefinite duration covers the enter country because according to presidential legal adviser Salvador Panelo, “the threats are not only in Davao but also in key cities nationwide. So why localize the declaration?” In fact, Malacañang was preparing to declare a state of lawlessness even before the bombing.
The proclamation explicitly states that the military must abide by the constitution and respect the human rights of all civilians. The move received polarizing reactions. Most notable of which are from Sen. Richard Gordon, who even agreed the President should be granted the authority to suspend the writ of habeas corpus, and from Albay Rep. Edcel Lagman, who presupposes that this could lead to “like what happened when former president Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo declared a state of lawlessness, and it spawned unwarranted illegal arrests, which the Supreme Court no less debunked as illegal.”

2. Accepting Marcos
Ferdinand Marcos served the country as a soldier and a president and should be buried in Libingan ng mga Bayani (LNMB) according to AFP rules. But we can’t erase the fact that he declared martial law that led to numerous violations of human rights and extrajudicial killings for which tranches of remuneration to the victims are still ongoing.
From the onset, Duterte supports burying the former president in LNMB so as to erase the hatred that has divided the nation. “The law says that Marcos is qualified to be buried there, as a soldier. They are contesting whether Marcos was a hero. I don’t care. Whether he was a hero or not, he was a soldier,” he said. But it might have been the unfortunate name of the cemetery that keeps on preventing the burial at the cemetery. A person interred in Libingan ng mga Bayani would consequently be referred as a bayani, a thought martial law victims don’t want to embrace for Marcos.
If it’s not enough, let’s look at the last vice presidential elections where his son, Sen. Ferdinand Marcos Jr., almost clinched the victory, some supporters even claiming that he was cheated. He might not be like his father and his father’s sins might not have to be taken as his. But electing a Marcos in Malacañang proves that we are ready for a Marcos’ brand of leadership. It’s the same reason we elected Noynoy Aquino, Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo or anyone with the same last name as their predecessors: they might not be exactly like their parents but in Philippine political scenario, electing them means we approve of what their brand of leadership represents and we want that to continue.

1. People want it
People who are tired of the crippling drug problems and rising crime rates are actually seeing the extrajudicial killings as a tangible move to fix the country. Especially the youth who were born after the martial law imposition, many believe that it was for the sake of addressing peace and order. "Many of today's youth have not experienced martial law, and say things that I don't think they really know about," martial law victim Bonifacio Ilagan says. Some even call the Marcos administration was the golden age of the country.
It can’t be erased, though, that martial law has a certain stigma for the country. Even the Duterte administration acknowledges the “dark pages of history during martial law.” While it repeatedly assures that martial law will never happen under Duterte, the sudden quip about declaring it and mulling over of the idea to impose it after the Davao blast make things more uncertain than ever.
In all honesty, martial law can happen anytime as long as there is an evidence of invasion or rebellion. But the survival and continuance of its imposition again throughout the whole country depends on the country’s political suitability to accept it. And these signs say it is. It is now a question of whether that’s a good or bad thing.

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